mcm daily market update 20.Apr.22

ST trend: up (with potential topping pattern)

Yesterday we were noting that the ST trend was neutral, with potential bounce coming, as FGSI had set up both bullish and bearish EE, but was at extreme pessimism, indicating at least a ST bounce. Buyers took full advantage of that though and after the initial failure at ML, rocketed past ML and macro-ML in a giant vertical move. We also had another push into the close, before the market finally gave up and dropped quite strongly to the prior consolidation area.

The o/n didn't bring too many developments. Buyers held the consolidation area where price stayed after the initial rocket launch and then buyers managed to psh back towards yesterday's high. This is now a big inflection point. If buyers can power through we will likely get more immediate upside. If they fail and price comes back below danny, then a consolidation down to 400bar MA or even ML is possible. FGSI did peak again at extreme optimism, so at least a ST pullback would be warranted.