Another Example of Bi-Modal Switches – TODAY

Today was a classic example of bias-free decision-making via Bi-modal switching. The scenarios were clear this morning. Given the data and evidence, a slight upward bias was preferred. This was easily adjusted based on a combination of timing and structure setting up a definitive bi-modal switch. In addition to that GAP TOOLS analysis of the gap showed another low probability gap fill and higher than normal gap breakdown probability. An X-Tick triggered at the open that needed to hold. It broke down AND triggered a probability for a stop run against long positions. This all happened between 8:00 am and 9:31 AM...putting 1:30 PM as timing for a likely low rather than high.

Then as shown below the most bearish scenario tracked and moved timing forward to about 2 hours earlier. The perfect way to mitigate emotions and stress. Not every scenario works out - but with this type of evidence, the amount of conflicting emotion and information are minimized. All without a focus on MACD, RSI or Moving Average...which are merely tertiary tools.

Bi-modal switching in action

Bi-modal switching in action

Below is the Gap Tools and Tick Tools cut today:

June 12th, 2015 Intraday e-Tick-Tools Results

June 12th, 2015 Intraday e-Tick-Tools Results

Why Using Data & Probabilities is Preferred – Yesterday

This post is short and its all about the chart. This shows a great example of how using data and probabilities can create clarity where indicators and emotions create confusion.

June 10th, 2015 Intraday e-Tick-Tools Results

June 10th, 2015 Intraday e-Tick-Tools Results

Intraday Update – Timing Approaching 2106 ES is KEY

Today was NOT choppy as market structure conflicts were indicating...This was cleared up at the open with the GAP TOOLS probabilities favoring high odds of a breakout and low of a gap fill and also with Stop-Run and Buy Extreme breakouts on the open...does not get much more powerful than that....rough day for the Bears.

June 10th, 2015 Intraday Market Structure Projections Update

June 10th, 2015 Intraday Market Structure Projections Update

Note, also that Accumulation Index (not shown) has been making new highs all day suggesting that more highs could be possible - in that case; the next situation becomes very critical. At 11:17 AM an X-Tick Buy Extreme (also not shown) occurred at 2,106.75 on ES futures that was in the top 6% of all buying events in the last 15+ years...this is normally bearish HOWEVER, a breakout OVER this level could be a sign that something big is coming as follow on highs would be expected with a break of such a huge exhaustion and eMotional energy expenditure.

Using Discipline, Data & Timing to Trade Rather than Indicators or Emotions

Our discipline is centered on high level of non-correlated and non-latent analysis. This approach is unique and practical - aimed squarely on defining probabilities and conceptual potentials into a bimodal interpretive process that allows for flexible application and a minimum of emotional or intellectual stresses. If one reviews the posts over the last several weeks, its reasonably clear that we have been able to be out in front of most market moves. Accordingly, by focusing on timing and the projection toolset it enabled us and our users to be prepared for today's market action a week or more in advance and to conserve energy.

The key is that the market DOES NOT HAVE to follow a specific predefined potential to provide actionable, repeatable and probable potentials. Choices simply need to be reduced to clear and few options in ways that facilitate calls to action. Our goal is to ANALYSE eMotions not be a victim of them. e-Tick-Tools signals were exceptional again today, triggering X-Tick eMotional capitulation signals at the lows this AM and also at the highs this afternoon at 2084 on ES.

June 9th, 2015 Intraday Market Structure Projection Results

June 9th, 2015 Intraday Market Structure Projection Results

Below is e-Tick-Tools Live from today...real-time eMotional analysis and feedback right when it is needed - show activity that represent eMotional exhaustion or an eMotional breakout. Learn more on the e-Tick-Tools product page.

June 9th, 2015 Intraday e-Tick-Tools Results

June 9th, 2015 Intraday e-Tick-Tools Results

Tick Tools Live Today…

Below are the Tick Tools and Gap Analysis for today. As can be seen, these emotional events were a significant insight into the activity in the markets today. From the very first bar, Gap Tools had a probability analysis favoring a breakdown of the opening range and only moderate odds of a gap fill. Accumulation Index (the magenta line on the price chart) confirmed every low and the market opened with terrible cash flow activity.

Very powerful signals and insight also to the other non-correlated tools in our suite.

June 4nd, 2015 e-Tick-Tools Live

June 4nd, 2015 e-Tick-Tools Live

Today’s Intraday Market Projections & Timing + eMotional Triggers

Below is the chart posted this morning for intraday timing and market structure for our friends and members. This chart includes the comments which were further reflected during the day.

June 2nd, 2015 Intraday Market Structure Projection

June 2nd, 2015 Intraday Market Structure Projection

Below is the e-Tick-Tools chart as it played out today...GapTools data is dis[played also. Exceptional signals again enabled early identification of breakout risk to the upside near mid-day and also - market structure indicated 1:00 pm highs would weaken substantially. Breaking of the Second -X-Tick Breakout and then of sell extreme supports was an early confirmation of emotional predisposition for the afternoon weakness.

June 2nd, 2015 e-Tick-Tools Live

June 2nd, 2015 e-Tick-Tools Live

To learn more about X-Ticks and sell and buy extremes you can go to these pages on our site:

e-Tick-Tools Core Concepts and a full e-Tick-Tools day. To see a bit more of what users think, go hereAlso, feel free to read or ask questions on our Q&A Documentation &Support Tool.

Exceptional Tick Tools Signals Today

Without the need for much more commentary - chart below:

June 1st, 2015 Live e-Tick-Tools Today

June 1st, 2015 Live e-Tick-Tools Today

As a note, the breakout over the Green X-Tick this afternoon is significant for bulls, as professional bear traders and scared bulls sold this area very hard and were promptly run over....which dissipated some bearish energy.

Expert Lounge – Live Chart

Today members in the Expert Lounge received this analysis among many others. As we can see, the markets approached timing around mid-day and also generated overwhelming eMotion readings. At which in real-time our resident expert analyst delivered this chart to clients.

S&P500 Expert Lounge Live Chart Analysis

S&P500 Expert Lounge Live Chart Analysis

The S&P500 has rallied 11 points from the data provided by e-Tick-Tools and our analyst - if you are curious about benefiting real-time eMotion and Technical analysis such as this...give the Expert Lounge a try.

e-Tick Tools Expert Lounge – Live intraday analysis

Not only is eMotional analysis a unique way to look at the market and for high probability entries, but when combined with Gap Tools, Waves/Symmetry and traditional disciplined TA by an experienced analyst...you get to see high probability setups that converge with other elements that make normal probability work look like guess work. This is a chart posted live in the Expert Lounge - which is a community live conversation, sharing and analysis area. Not only do setups like this get identified but also high-quality learning and exchange occurs. This is very valuable for several reasons:

  • It's most likely the best way to learn,
  • Great analysis that is useful, timely and executable.
  • Others ideas also get shared and great questions asked,
  • Feedback from the process is something that we can use in development of enhancements to the process.

If eMotion analysis in real-time strikes as uncorrelated and something that you feel may give you and edge (personally, just look at the chart and I think it's obvious to us it's a significant edge) then you should do a free trial while we are launching the site while its being offered and get to know more about how things work - by working with our exceptional and experienced live analysis talent.

S&P500 Expert Lounge Live Chart Analysis

S&P500 Expert Lounge Live Chart Analysis

Tick Tools Stop Run Potential Triggered in timing window

We are in a timing window as posted earlier. These windows have +/- 1 hour usually. e-Tick Tools just generated a Stop-Run Potential Trigger that suggests a lot of shorts are trapped and that we may get a break over the BUY EXTREME that triggered 20 minutes ago and then pullback. Things to keep in mind... timing area for a high poses risk for further upside. Confirmed Buy Extreme suggests some capitulation on the part of buyers. However, the condition for a stop run are in pace and suggest that if we pop higher could be unpleasant for shorts...till better exhaustion occurs. Sell extreme currently in place is at 2119 and a key level at this moment.

Note, the CYAN line on the price chart is the Accumulation Index and it is making new highs as the market is consolidating - could be another indication of pressure could emerge on near-term short risks.

This is a pretty good, in my opinion, example of using Market Facts/eMotion analysis to support technical analysis.

e-Tick-Tools Stop Run Potential Trigger

e-Tick-Tools Stop Run Potential Trigger