Finishing with a Flourish? Projections Suggest Weakness Ahead

We are approaching key areas as shown on the Levels charts. 1990 to 2010 is a significant area on the SPX cash index. It would be reasonable to expect a reaction from this area. Additionally, market structure projection suggests early strength is likely to be dissipated into the afternoon. Moreover, Wednesday and Thursdays directional bias is significantly weaker. On top of market structure projection suggesting weakness ahead, which could be pronounced - we have the moon cycles – which are approaching the last moon and a new moon series. A weak reaction to the last moon could intensify the reaction to the new moon. Below is a chart of market structure projection for the intraday, which suggests timing around 10:30 AM and 2 PM. Either area is a valid place for the market to turn from upwards to downloads, 10:30 AM is the higher probability. However, to put things succinctly, the general expectation is latent morning strength leads to afternoon weakness.

Other data to note, is that the bias for strength this month ends on the fourth trading day of the month - this is where he currently sits. The implication is not that the market needs to fall apart after that, but rather that upward potential wanes. In this case, given the size of the retest of the currently working bear impulses a pronounced reaction would not be surprising. We want to reiterate again, that this rally does not fit into the structure of a bull market presently due to the working downward impulses on the daily and weekly charts and also the bias of the systems towards "bear market" predisposition.

Oct 6th, 2015 Intraday Market Structure Projections

Oct 6th, 2015 Intraday Market Structure Projections

SPX Cash Levels Chart

SPX Cash Levels Chart

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